Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Berkeley Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189213401 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,686 · 56% of tract blocks fall in Berkeley
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 29189213401 in Berkeley, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,686. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,877
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$51,271
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Berkeley and the region
Centroid at 38.7266, -90.3462 · click any tract to drill in
Why Berkeley scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Berkeley
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$982 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Berkeley
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Berkeley
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Berkeley
9.1
How Berkeley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 362Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.6%Housing insecurity
- 19.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.7%Food insecurity
- 26.3%SNAP enrollment
- 16.0%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 42.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Berkeley
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. 34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the St. Louis County average of 42.0%.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 24.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $982 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Berkeley commands. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189213401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189213401?
Census tract 29189213401 in Berkeley scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189213401?
Median gross rent is $982/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189213401?
20.5% of residents in tract 29189213401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,686.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189213401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 97th, minority 79th, housing 65th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189213401 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189213401 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189213401 compare to Berkeley overall?
Tract 29189213401 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Berkeley at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berkeley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Berkeley
Top eight tracts in Berkeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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