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Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Berkeley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29189213401 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,686 · 56% of tract blocks fall in Berkeley

Berkeley in St. Louis County is where census tract 29189213401 sits, home to 4,686 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $982 monthly, set against $51,271 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 24% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,877
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$51,271

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Berkeley
Very Low
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#414 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
High
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,017 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Berkeley and the region

Centroid at 38.7266, -90.3462 · click any tract to drill in

Why Berkeley scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Berkeley
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$982 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Berkeley
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Berkeley
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Berkeley
9.1

How Berkeley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Berkeley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 213401Berkeley: 2.62.6Berkeleyparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 362Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2020-02-01: 9 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2020-07-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2020-08-01: 6 filings (12.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-10-01: 3 filings (0.21× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 8 filings (0.64× baseline)2021-07-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-01-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.12× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (0.30× baseline)2022-05-01: 9 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (0.24× baseline)2022-07-01: 7 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (0.77× baseline)2022-10-01: 8 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-11-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-01-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (0.30× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-04-01: 12 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2023-06-01: 9 filings (0.72× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-11-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-12-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2024-02-01: 5 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 9 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-05-01: 6 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (0.24× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (0.21× baseline)2024-11-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (0.24× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (0.55× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (1.07× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2025-07-01: 8 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 7 filings (1.08× baseline)2025-10-01: 18 filings (1.29× baseline)2025-11-01: 10 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2026-01-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Berkeley

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Berkeley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189213401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189213401?

Census tract 29189213401 in Berkeley scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189213401?

Median gross rent is $982/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189213401?

20.5% of residents in tract 29189213401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,686.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189213401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 97th, minority 79th, housing 65th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 29189213401 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6

What share of households in tract 29189213401 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29189213401 compare to Berkeley overall?

Tract 29189213401 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Berkeley at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berkeley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berkeley

Top eight tracts in Berkeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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