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Census Tract · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Chesterfield Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29189217841 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,420

Census tract 29189217841 belongs to Chesterfield, Missouri. It is home to 5,420 residents and scores 4.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 23rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

14% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,879 a month while the average household earns $127,647 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 13% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,236
Renter share15.5%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$127,647

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 10 tracts In Chesterfield
Elevated
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#214 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#1,595 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
National
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#81,634 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesterfield and the region

Centroid at 38.6411, -90.5462 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chesterfield scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesterfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,879 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesterfield
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesterfield
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesterfield
2.9

How Chesterfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chesterfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 217841Chesterfield: 2.22.2Chesterfieldparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 101Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 3.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak (2010)
  • 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291892178412003: 13 filings (3.98/100 renter HHs)2004: 11 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (3.73/100 renter HHs)2006: 19 filings (6.44/100 renter HHs)2010: 22 filings (6.13/100 renter HHs)2012: 9 filings (2.37/100 renter HHs)2013: 14 filings (3.68/100 renter HHs)2017: 2 filings (0.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 85% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 148Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-07-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2025-07-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 7 filings (7.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chesterfield

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesterfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.64x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189217841

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217841?

Census tract 29189217841 in Chesterfield scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189217841?

Median gross rent is $1,879/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217841?

2.5% of residents in tract 29189217841 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,420.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217841?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 45th, minority 48th, housing 33th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217841?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 101 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189217841 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.80% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189217841 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189217841 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189217841 compare to Chesterfield overall?

Tract 29189217841 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Chesterfield at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesterfield

Top eight tracts in Chesterfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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