Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Chesterfield Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189217851 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,163
Eviction risk in Chesterfield eviction risk in St. Louis eviction risk County centers on tract 29189217851, which scores $1/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,163 residents. It lands near the 12th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $170,978 a year. Renters make up 1% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,170
Renter share0.9%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$170,978
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
National
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterfield and the region
Centroid at 38.6324, -90.5674 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chesterfield scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesterfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesterfield
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesterfield
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesterfield
2.9
How Chesterfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 19Total filings over 8 yrs
- 0.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.8%Peak (2012)
- 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 5Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.5%Food insecurity
- 2.8%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 11.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chesterfield
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesterfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and below the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.17x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189217851
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217851?
Census tract 29189217851 in Chesterfield scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217851?
2.7% of residents in tract 29189217851 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,163.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217851?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 69th, minority 30th, housing 5th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217851?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189217851 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.00% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189217851 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189217851 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189217851 compare to Chesterfield overall?
Tract 29189217851 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Chesterfield at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesterfield
Top eight tracts in Chesterfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
29189221631
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29189221630
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189217854
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189215236
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189215231
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189217841
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189217853
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189215235
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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