Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally
Chesterfield Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189217854 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 1,885
For landlords sizing up Chesterfield, census tract 29189217854 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #36,405 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,412 a month against an average household income of $136,053 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units798
Renter share8.5%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$136,053
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
National
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterfield and the region
Centroid at 38.6269, -90.5377 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chesterfield scores 1.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesterfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,412 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesterfield
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesterfield
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesterfield
2.9
How Chesterfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 10Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 11.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chesterfield
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesterfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.83x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189217854
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217854?
Census tract 29189217854 in Chesterfield scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189217854?
Median gross rent is $1,412/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217854?
8.3% of residents in tract 29189217854 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,885.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217854?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 12th, minority 47th, housing 26th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189217854 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189217854 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189217854 compare to Chesterfield overall?
Tract 29189217854 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Chesterfield at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesterfield
Top eight tracts in Chesterfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
29189221631
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29189221630
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189215236
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189217851
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189217853
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189215231
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189217841
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189221629
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
Related