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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , University City

Tract 29189215801 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,695 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 29189215801, home to 3,695 residents in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood of University City, scores 4.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 16% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

13% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,270 monthly, set against $173,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 9% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 9% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,614
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$173,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Varsity neighborhood
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 11 tracts In University City
Very Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#174 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#1,505 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across University City and the region

Centroid at 38.6627, -90.3412 · click any tract to drill in

Why Varsity neighborhood scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,270 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1

How Varsity neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Varsity neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 215801University City: 2.72.7University Cityparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 75Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and below the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.81x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189215801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189215801?

Census tract 29189215801 in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189215801?

Median gross rent is $1,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189215801?

4.4% of residents in tract 29189215801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,695.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189215801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 11th, minority 32th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 29189215801 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189215801 fall within Varsity neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189215801 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189215801 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189215801 compare to University City overall?

Tract 29189215801 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of University City at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 29189215801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in University City

Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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