Ferguson Eviction Risk: Moderate

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 341 evictions over 8 years of observation. At $993 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Ferguson commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2017, when 9.6% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 10.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $64,457.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.