Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Ferguson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189211900 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,001 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Ferguson
Census tract 29189211900 runs through Ferguson. With 4,001 residents, it scores 7.3/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 73% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $919 a month against an average household income of $26,215 a year, roughly 42% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,923
Renter share77.6%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate35.9%
Median income$26,215
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ferguson and the region
Centroid at 38.7444, -90.2650 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ferguson scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ferguson
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
35.9% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$919 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ferguson
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ferguson
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ferguson
8.6
How Ferguson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 41%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,605Total filings over 8 yrs
- 13.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.5%Peak (2013)
- 255Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 143% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,759Total filings 2020-21
- 22.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 20.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 40.3%Housing insecurity
- 35.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.9%Food insecurity
- 52.1%SNAP enrollment
- 27.1%Transit barriers
- 15.5%No health insurance
- 25.2%Frequent mental distress
- 51.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ferguson
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ferguson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 40.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 35.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189211900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189211900?
Census tract 29189211900 in Ferguson scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189211900?
Median gross rent is $919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189211900?
35.9% of residents in tract 29189211900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,001.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189211900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 62th, minority 94th, housing 77th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189211900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,605 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189211900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.09% of renter households, peaking at 20.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189211900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189211900 struggle to pay rent?
About 40.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 35.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189211900 compare to Ferguson overall?
Tract 29189211900 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Ferguson at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ferguson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189211900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ferguson
Top eight tracts in Ferguson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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