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Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Mehlville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29189220602 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,505

With a score of 3.9/10, tract 29189220602 in Mehlville, MO reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the St. Louis County average of 42.0%.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 21% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,502
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$67,372

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Mehlville
Elevated
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#640 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
National
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#50,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mehlville and the region

Centroid at 38.5194, -90.3180 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mehlville scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mehlville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$748 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mehlville
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mehlville
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mehlville
4.7

How Mehlville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mehlville risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 2206023.5Mehlvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 194Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 4.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.6%Peak (2005)
  • 13Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29189220602
Filings dropped 63% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 58Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mehlville

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.2/10. At $748 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Mehlville commands.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 194 evictions over 8 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 7.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $67,372, annual rent is just 13%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189220602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220602?

Census tract 29189220602 in Mehlville scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189220602?

Median gross rent is $748/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220602?

7.8% of residents in tract 29189220602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,505.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 58th, minority 22th, housing 21th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189220602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 194 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189220602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.10% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189220602 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189220602 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189220602 compare to Mehlville overall?

Tract 29189220602 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Mehlville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mehlville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mehlville

Top eight tracts in Mehlville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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