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Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Mehlville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29189220504 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,861

Tract 29189220504 sits in Mehlville eviction risk, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It is home to 3,861 residents. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 24% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,875
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$49,186

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Mehlville
Very High
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#483 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#44,239 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mehlville and the region

Centroid at 38.5059, -90.3121 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mehlville scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mehlville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$905 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mehlville
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mehlville
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mehlville
4.7

How Mehlville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mehlville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 2205043.5Mehlvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 253Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.34×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mehlville

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

At $905 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Mehlville commands. Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $49,186. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189220504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220504?

Census tract 29189220504 in Mehlville scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189220504?

Median gross rent is $905/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220504?

8.1% of residents in tract 29189220504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,861.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 86th, minority 30th, housing 60th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 29189220504 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.34× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6

What share of households in tract 29189220504 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29189220504 compare to Mehlville overall?

Tract 29189220504 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Mehlville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mehlville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mehlville

Top eight tracts in Mehlville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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