Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Mehlville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189220448 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,172
29189220448 is a census tract in Mehlville, MO. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,172. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,327
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$71,672
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mehlville and the region
Centroid at 38.4958, -90.3241 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mehlville scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mehlville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,086 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mehlville
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mehlville
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mehlville
4.7
How Mehlville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 129Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.4%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mehlville
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.
Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10. 40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,086, close to the Mehlville average. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $71,672.
41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189220448
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220448?
Census tract 29189220448 in Mehlville scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189220448?
Median gross rent is $1,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220448?
11.4% of residents in tract 29189220448 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,172.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220448?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 65th, minority 26th, housing 49th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220448 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189220448 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189220448 compare to Mehlville overall?
Tract 29189220448 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Mehlville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mehlville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mehlville
Top eight tracts in Mehlville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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