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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Saint Louis Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shrewsbury

Tract 29189219601 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,144 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 29189219601 sits in the Saint Louis Hills area of Shrewsbury, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. Population here is 4,144. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 27% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,179
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$77,133

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Saint Louis Hills
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Shrewsbury
Very High
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#419 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shrewsbury and the region

Centroid at 38.5814, -90.3301 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saint Louis Hills scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shrewsbury
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,170 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shrewsbury
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shrewsbury
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shrewsbury
5.4

How Saint Louis Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Saint Louis Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 2196013.9Shrewsburyparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 270Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.81×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Saint Louis Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saint Louis Hills

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189219601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189219601?

Census tract 29189219601 in the Saint Louis Hills neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189219601?

Median gross rent is $1,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189219601?

12.8% of residents in tract 29189219601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,144.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189219601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 33th, minority 34th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 29189219601 considered part of Saint Louis Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189219601 fall within Saint Louis Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189219601 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189219601 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189219601 compare to Shrewsbury overall?

Tract 29189219601 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Shrewsbury at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shrewsbury; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 29189219601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shrewsbury

Top eight tracts in Shrewsbury ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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