Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Saint Louis Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shrewsbury
Tract 29189219802 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,852 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
29189219802 is a census tract in the Saint Louis Hills area of St. Louis County, MO. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,852 residents. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,858
Renter share35.3%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$61,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shrewsbury and the region
Centroid at 38.5700, -90.3105 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saint Louis Hills scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shrewsbury
2.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shrewsbury
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shrewsbury
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shrewsbury
5.0
How Saint Louis Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 47%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 146Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.39×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Saint Louis Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.9%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 32.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saint Louis Hills
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10.
On the softer side, local political climate reads 2.1/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. 40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,199 a month. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $61,000.
35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189219802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189219802?
Census tract 29189219802 in the Saint Louis Hills neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189219802?
Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189219802?
9.8% of residents in tract 29189219802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,852.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189219802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 20th, minority 31th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 29189219802 considered part of Saint Louis Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189219802 fall within Saint Louis Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189219802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189219802 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189219802 compare to Shrewsbury overall?
Tract 29189219802 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Shrewsbury at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shrewsbury; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189219802 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Related