Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Harvest Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Bozeman

Tract 30031000506 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 7,183 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up Harvest Creek in Bozeman, census tract 30031000506 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,702 a month against an average household income of $99,199 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 24% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units3,055

Renter share51.5%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate5.3%

Median income$99,199

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bozeman and the region

Centroid at 45.6929, -111.0831 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harvest Creek scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bozeman

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Montana legislature & governorship

1.7

Economic stress

5.3% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

$1,702 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bozeman

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bozeman

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bozeman

4.5

How Harvest Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

25%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
6%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.5%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
7.5%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
21.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harvest Creek

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Gallatin County average of 4.7 and above the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 30031000506

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000506?

Census tract 30031000506 in the Harvest Creek neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 30031000506?

Median gross rent is $1,702/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000506?

5.3% of residents in tract 30031000506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,183.

How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000506?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 5th, minority 6th, housing 40th.

Is tract 30031000506 considered part of Harvest Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000506 fall within Harvest Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 30031000506 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 30031000506 compare to Bozeman overall?

Tract 30031000506 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bozeman at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman

Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.