Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Harvest Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Bozeman
Tract 30031000506 ·
Gallatin County, MT · pop 7,183 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 30031000506 covers part of the Harvest Creek area of Bozeman, MT, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,183. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%Stable renters 24%Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units3,055
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$99,199
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Harvest Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
15th percentile
#12 of 14 tracts In Bozeman
Very Low
Within county
44th percentile
#15 of 26 tracts In Gallatin County
Moderate
Within state
60th percentile
#128 of 319 tracts In Montana
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bozeman and the region
Centroid at 45.6929, -111.0831 · click any tract to drill in
Why Harvest Creek scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bozeman
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,702 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bozeman
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bozeman
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bozeman
4.5
How Harvest Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
25%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
6%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.5%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
7.5%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Harvest Creek
Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Gallatin County average of 43.5%. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.7/10.
Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Gallatin County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,702, close to the Bozeman average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $99,199.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 30031000506
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000506?
Census tract 30031000506 in the Harvest Creek neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30031000506?
Median gross rent is $1,702/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000506?
5.3% of residents in tract 30031000506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,183.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000506?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 5th, minority 6th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 30031000506 considered part of Harvest Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000506 fall within Harvest Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 30031000506 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 30031000506 compare to Bozeman overall?
Tract 30031000506 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bozeman at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman
Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.