Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

North Tracy Avenue Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bozeman

Tract 30031000701 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 4,215 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 30031000701 covers part of the North Tracy Avenue area of Bozeman, MT, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.7/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 35% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units2,112
Renter share57.9%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$87,955

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In North Tracy Avenue
Very Low
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 14 tracts In Bozeman
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 26 tracts In Gallatin County
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 319 tracts In Montana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bozeman and the region

Centroid at 45.6820, -111.0381 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Tracy Avenue scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bozeman
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,417 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bozeman
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bozeman
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bozeman
4.5

How North Tracy Avenue compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Tracy Avenue risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0007014.5Bozemanparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 0.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.4%Peak (2000)
  • 1Filings in 2002 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2002
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 30031000701
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Tracy Avenue. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Tracy Avenue

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. SNAP participation runs 4.5% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,417, 17% below the Bozeman average.

Court records carry 7 eviction filings across 3 observed years. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Gallatin County average of 43.5%. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2000 at 0.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Gallatin County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $87,955.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 30031000701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000701?

Census tract 30031000701 in the North Tracy Avenue neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30031000701?

Median gross rent is $1,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000701?

8.2% of residents in tract 30031000701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,215.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 1th, minority 22th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 30031000701 considered part of North Tracy Avenue?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000701 fall within North Tracy Avenue (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 30031000701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 30031000701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.27% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 30031000701 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 30031000701 compare to Bozeman overall?

Tract 30031000701 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Bozeman at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman

Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related