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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Papillion Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 31153010616 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 4,395 · 49% of tract blocks fall in Papillion

31153010616 is a census tract in Papillion, NE. It scores 3/10 for landlords. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Sarpy County average of 37.2%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 12% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,847
Renter share26.4%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$114,009

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Papillion
Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 47 tracts In Sarpy County
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#360 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Papillion and the region

Centroid at 41.1683, -96.0588 · click any tract to drill in

Why Papillion scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Papillion
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,411 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Papillion
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Papillion
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Papillion
3.7

How Papillion compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Papillion risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0106163.5Papillionparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 59Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 2.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2006)
  • 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 31153010616
Filings climbed 20% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Papillion

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

Housing insecurity runs 5.7% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 59 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Against the Sarpy County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Average gross rent is $1,411, 11% above the Papillion average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 4.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $114,009, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010616

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010616?

Census tract 31153010616 in Papillion scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31153010616?

Median gross rent is $1,411/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010616?

3.7% of residents in tract 31153010616 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,395.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010616?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 55th, minority 30th, housing 72th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31153010616?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 59 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 31153010616 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.09% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 31153010616 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 31153010616 compare to Papillion overall?

Tract 31153010616 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Papillion at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Papillion eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Papillion

Top eight tracts in Papillion ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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