Overland Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Papillion

Average gross rent is $2,063, 63% above the Papillion average. The voucher gap is 63.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 7.0% against 17.8% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 92 evictions over 11 years of observation.

It sits 0.7 points below the Sarpy County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2006, when 22.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.