Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Papillion Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 31153010637 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 3,839 · 22% of tract blocks fall in Papillion

With a score of 3.5/10, tract 31153010637 in Papillion, NE reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,839 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.7/10.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 25% Owners 61%

Tract context

Occupied units1,537

Renter share38.8%

SVI overall0.10

Poverty rate6.9%

Median income$107,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Papillion and the region

Centroid at 41.1708, -96.0090 · click any tract to drill in

Why Papillion scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Papillion

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.4

State political climate

Nebraska legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

6.9% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,303 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Papillion

4.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Papillion

6.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Papillion

3.7

How Papillion compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

12%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
6%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.4%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
8.7%Food insecurity
5.4%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
6.9%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
20.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Papillion

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $107,125, annual rent is just 15%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. 36% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Sarpy County average of 3.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,303, close to the Papillion average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010637

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010637?

Census tract 31153010637 in Papillion scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 31153010637?

Median gross rent is $1,303/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010637?

6.9% of residents in tract 31153010637 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,839.

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010637?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 16th, minority 44th, housing 16th.

What share of households in tract 31153010637 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 31153010637 compare to Papillion overall?

Tract 31153010637 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Papillion at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Papillion eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 31153010637 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Papillion

Top eight tracts in Papillion ranked by composite eviction-risk score.