Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Papillion Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 31153010637 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 3,839 · 22% of tract blocks fall in Papillion

Eviction risk in Papillion eviction risk centers on tract 31153010637, which scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,839 residents. That is riskier than about 18% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,303 a month while the average household earns $107,125 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score

1.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 25% Owners 61%

Tract context

Occupied units1,537

Renter share38.8%

SVI overall0.10

Poverty rate6.9%

Median income$107,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Papillion and the region

Centroid at 41.1708, -96.0090 · click any tract to drill in

Why Papillion scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Papillion

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.4

State political climate

Nebraska legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

6.9% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,303 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Papillion

4.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Papillion

6.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Papillion

3.7

How Papillion compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

12%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
6%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.4%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
8.7%Food insecurity
5.4%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
6.9%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
20.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Papillion

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Papillion eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarpy County average of 4.1 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010637

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010637?

Census tract 31153010637 in Papillion scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 31153010637?

Median gross rent is $1,303/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010637?

6.9% of residents in tract 31153010637 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,839.

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010637?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 16th, minority 44th, housing 16th.

What share of households in tract 31153010637 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 31153010637 compare to Papillion overall?

Tract 31153010637 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Papillion at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Papillion eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 31153010637 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Papillion

Top eight tracts in Papillion ranked by composite eviction-risk score.