Census Tract · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Papillion Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 31153010638 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 4,480 · 71% of tract blocks fall in Papillion

Census tract 31153010638 belongs to Papillion in Sarpy County, Nebraska. It is home to 4,480 residents and scores 4.1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 14% of US census tracts.

31% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,298 a month while the average household earns $127,995 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.2

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 14% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,705

Renter share20.6%

SVI overall0.07

Poverty rate0.4%

Median income$127,995

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Papillion and the region

Centroid at 41.1552, -96.0069 · click any tract to drill in

Why Papillion scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Papillion

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.4

State political climate

Nebraska legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

0.4% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,298 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Papillion

4.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Papillion

6.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Papillion

3.7

How Papillion compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

6%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
26%Racial/ethnic minority
17%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.5%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
6.1%Food insecurity
3.5%SNAP enrollment
3.9%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
11.8%Frequent mental distress
19.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Papillion

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Papillion eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarpy County average of 4.1 and in line with the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010638

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010638?

Census tract 31153010638 in Papillion scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 31153010638?

Median gross rent is $1,298/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010638?

0.4% of residents in tract 31153010638 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,480.

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010638?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 18th, minority 26th, housing 17th.

What share of households in tract 31153010638 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 31153010638 compare to Papillion overall?

Tract 31153010638 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Papillion at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Papillion eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Papillion

Top eight tracts in Papillion ranked by composite eviction-risk score.