Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Notre Dame Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

Tract 33011002100 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 5,440 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 33011002100 sits in the Notre Dame area of Manchester eviction risk, NH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 5,440 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 35% Owners 24%

Tract context

Occupied units2,278

Renter share75.6%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate13.6%

Median income$74,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 42.9881, -71.4790 · click any tract to drill in

Why Notre Dame scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

13.6% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,548 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How Notre Dame compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
60%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
74%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.5%Housing insecurity
10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
19.2%Food insecurity
15.0%SNAP enrollment
10.4%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
31.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Notre Dame

This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against Hillsborough County at 45.2%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.4 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.0.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.5/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Manchester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.3/10. Statewide the NH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,548, close to the Manchester average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $74,438.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011002100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011002100?

Census tract 33011002100 in the Notre Dame neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011002100?

Median gross rent is $1,548/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011002100?

13.6% of residents in tract 33011002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,440.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 60th, minority 54th, housing 50th.

Is tract 33011002100 considered part of Notre Dame?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011002100 fall within Notre Dame (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011002100 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011002100 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011002100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011002100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.