Corey Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hillsborough County average of 45.2%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Average gross rent is $1,228, 21% below the Manchester average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.5/10.

On the high side, economic stress reads 7.5/10. Food insecurity runs 26.8% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.