Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Kalivas/Union Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

Tract 33011001500 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 3,692 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 33011001500 belongs to the Kalivas/Union area of Manchester, New Hampshire. It is home to 3,692 residents and scores 5.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 60% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 71% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,525 a month against an average household income of $37,240 a year, roughly 49% of income at the averages. Renters make up 90% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 64% Stable renters 26% Owners 10%

Tract context

Occupied units1,107

Renter share90.2%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate33.7%

Median income$37,240

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 42.9862, -71.4552 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kalivas/Union scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

33.7% poverty · this tract

8.4

Supply constraint

$1,525 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How Kalivas/Union compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
53%Grade C
47%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kalivas/Union. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.8%Housing insecurity
21.7%Utility-shutoff threat
41.8%Food insecurity
38.5%SNAP enrollment
20.8%Transit barriers
24.8%No health insurance
23.6%Frequent mental distress
43.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kalivas/Union

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 4.7 and above the New Hampshire statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Part of this tract, about 47% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011001500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011001500?

Census tract 33011001500 in the Kalivas/Union neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011001500?

Median gross rent is $1,525/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011001500?

33.7% of residents in tract 33011001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,692.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011001500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 96th, minority 77th, housing 86th.

Is tract 33011001500 considered part of Kalivas/Union?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011001500 fall within Kalivas/Union (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011001500 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011001500 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011001500 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011001500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 47% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.