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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Kalivas/Union Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

Tract 33011001600 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 4,602 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 33011001600 runs through Kalivas/Union in Manchester. With 4,602 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 38th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,161 monthly, set against $46,736 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 86% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 34% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units2,137
Renter share85.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$46,736

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Kalivas/Union
Very Low
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 30 tracts In Manchester
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 103 tracts In Hillsborough County
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#24 of 349 tracts In New Hampshire
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 42.9861, -71.4490 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kalivas/Union scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manchester
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,161 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
3.5

How Kalivas/Union compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kalivas/Union risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 001600Manchester: 3.73.7Manchesterparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kalivas/Union. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kalivas/Union

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 4.7 and in line with the New Hampshire statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 22% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011001600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011001600?

Census tract 33011001600 in the Kalivas/Union neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 33011001600?

Median gross rent is $1,161/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011001600?

19.2% of residents in tract 33011001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,602.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011001600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 73th, minority 66th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 33011001600 considered part of Kalivas/Union?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011001600 fall within Kalivas/Union (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 33011001600 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 33011001600 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011001600 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 33011001600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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