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Estell Manor, New Jersey eviction risk overview
City brief · 1,565 residents

Estell Manor, NJ Eviction Risk: HIGH

Atlantic County · Population 1,565

In 2026
Risk score
7.4
HIGH

72th percentile, New Jersey.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min3.6 Average5.7 Now7.4
8.2 3.6 1976 · score 4.2 1977 · score 4.1 1978 · score 4.1 1979 · score 4.1 1980 · score 4.1 1981 · score 4.0 1982 · score 4.1 1983 · score 3.9 1984 · score 3.8 1985 · score 3.7 1986 · score 3.6 1987 · score 3.6 1988 · score 3.7 1989 · score 3.7 1990 · score 3.8 1991 · score 3.9 1992 · score 4.7 1993 · score 4.7 1994 · score 4.7 1995 · score 4.7 1996 · score 5.4 1997 · score 5.4 1998 · score 5.4 1999 · score 5.5 2000 · score 5.7 2001 · score 5.8 2002 · score 6.3 2003 · score 6.4 2004 · score 6.3 2005 · score 6.2 2006 · score 6.2 2007 · score 6.1 2008 · score 6.6 2009 · score 6.9 2010 · score 7.0 2011 · score 7.1 2012 · score 7.2 2013 · score 7.2 2014 · score 7.2 2015 · score 7.2 2016 · score 7.2 2017 · score 7.2 2018 · score 7.2 2019 · score 7.2 2020 · score 8.2 2021 · score 7.9 2022 · score 7.6 2023 · score 7.6 2024 · score 7.7 2025 · score 7.5 2026 · score 7.4

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.8 Regional 5.8 State 6.8 Economic 4.0 Supply 5.3 Rent Control 9.6 Eviction 6.9 Tenant 2.1 Housing 5.9 7.4 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +3.0% (2024)
    5.8
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.8
  3. State political climate
    New Jersey legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    2.6% poverty · 4.1% unemp.
    4.0
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,500 average · 3.6% renters
    5.3
  6. Rent Control risk
    51.0% of income on rent
    9.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    193 days filing → judgment
    6.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    3.6% renters
    2.1
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Estell Manor and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Estell Manor compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Atlantic County
Elevated
#13 of 40 cities
Rank in county, 69th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 40 cities in Atlantic County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New Jersey
Elevated
#210 of 696 cities
Rank in state, 70th percentileLowHigh
#210 of 696 cities in New Jersey for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Estell Manor risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Estell Manor: 7.47.4Estell ManorThis cityCounty: 7.47.4Countyavg in countyState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.4
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.4/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+3.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 193d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,500/mo. A contested eviction takes 193 days and costs $8,885–$26,678 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 3.6%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 1,565 residents, 3.6% rent. 51% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 2.6% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.8
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.8 and 5.8 (GOP margin +3.0% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.9, housing court bias 5.9, rent-control risk 9.6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.9 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4. Supply constraint: 5.3. The numbers behind those: 2.6% poverty, 4.1% unemployment, 51% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Estell Manor sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Camden, NJ · 185d · ~$17.8k all-in ($96/day) · score 8.3 Camden Vineland, NJ · 167d · ~$17.0k all-in ($102/day) · score 7.6 Vineland Newark, NJ · 165d · ~$16.3k all-in ($99/day) · score 9 Newark Jersey City, NJ · 163d · ~$18.6k all-in ($114/day) · score 8.3 Jersey City Paterson, NJ · 185d · ~$17.8k all-in ($96/day) · score 8.9 Paterson Elizabeth, NJ · 165d · ~$16.5k all-in ($100/day) · score 8.2 Elizabeth Toms River, NJ · 166d · ~$16.0k all-in ($96/day) · score 6.8 Toms River Trenton, NJ · 179d · ~$18.6k all-in ($104/day) · score 8.2 Trenton Clifton, NJ · 170d · ~$19.3k all-in ($114/day) · score 7.8 Clifton Bayonne, NJ · 180d · ~$17.2k all-in ($95/day) · score 7.7 Bayonne Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Estell Manor
Estell Manor · 193d · ~$17.8k all-in ($92/day) · score 7.4 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Estell Manor, NJ

Landlording in Estell Manor, New Jersey, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.4/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Estell Manor is a city of 1,565 residents where 3.6% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 51.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,500/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Estell Manor eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Estell Manor closes 193 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Estell Manor's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Estell Manor runs $8,885 to $26,678 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 193 days of typical timeline and $1,500/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.1/10 in Estell Manor, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New Jersey, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Estell Manor: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New Jersey's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $26,678 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Estell Manor

Trap · 6.7 POINTS
Politically, Atlantic County voted Democratic by 6.7 points in 2020, a baseline that correlates with tenant-protective legislative pressure. Combined with 51.0% rent-to-income ratio, expect active enforcement of NJSA 2A:18-61.1 Anti-Eviction Act.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the biggest mistake landlords make in Estell Manor evictions?

The biggest mistake is trying to "self-evict" or ignoring the just-cause requirement. New Jersey's Anti-Eviction Act is strict. You can't change locks, turn off utilities, or harass a tenant into leaving. You absolutely must have a legally recognized reason (just-cause) and follow the precise court process. Any deviation will lead to severe penalties.
Q2

Can I raise the rent whenever I want in Estell Manor?

While Estell Manor doesn't have its own local rent control ordinance, New Jersey has a high rent-control-risk sub-score of 9.6/10. This means the state legislature frequently considers and sometimes passes laws that can impact rent increases. Always check for the latest statewide regulations before implementing significant rent hikes. Also, remember that a rent increase can't be used as a retaliatory measure. For current info, check New Jersey rent control rules.
Q3

How long does it take for a sheriff to remove a tenant after a judgment?

Once you get a Judgment for Possession from the court, the tenant usually gets a short period (often a week or two) to move out voluntarily. If they don't, you'll need to obtain a Warrant of Removal from the court. The sheriff's office in Atlantic County will then schedule the physical lockout. This can take anywhere from a few days to several weeks, depending on their workload. It's rarely immediate.
Q4

What if my tenant pays part of the rent after I give notice?

This is tricky in New Jersey. Accepting a partial payment after issuing a pay-or-quit notice can sometimes be interpreted by a judge as waiving your right to evict for that month's non-payment, restarting the process. If a tenant offers partial payment, consult your attorney immediately before accepting it. Often, it's better to refuse and proceed with the eviction unless your attorney advises otherwise.
Q5

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Estell Manor?

For an eviction in Estell Manor, New Jersey, a lawyer is not legally required for landlords who own property in their personal name. However, for an LLC or corporation, you will need an attorney. Given the complexity of New Jersey's Anti-Eviction Act, the tenant-friendly courts, and the high financial stakes (193 days and $8,885-$26,678), hiring an experienced landlord-tenant attorney is highly recommended, bordering on essential, for any landlord. The cost of a lawyer pales in comparison to months of lost rent and potential legal blunders.
Q6

What resources are available for landlords in Atlantic County?

Beyond legal counsel, consider joining local landlord associations. They often provide valuable insights into local court trends, connect you with reliable contractors, and offer peer support. The New Jersey Apartment Association (NJAA) is a statewide organization that offers resources and advocacy for landlords, including those in Atlantic County. Also, familiarize yourself with the Atlantic County eviction guide for specific local considerations.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.4/10 places Estell Manor in the 72nd percentile of New Jersey cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.