Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Union City
Tract 34017017900 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,729 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Lincoln Harbor in Union City anchors census tract 34017017900, which lands at 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #12,814 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,427 monthly, set against $168,784 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units2,924
Renter share75.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$168,784
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7693, -74.0156 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Harbor scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,427 rent vs county FMR
9.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.0
How Lincoln Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 149Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2018)
- 58Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 241% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 2.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 12.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 9.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hudson County average of 7.0 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 149 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 3.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.9% of renter households in 2018.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017017900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017017900?
Census tract 34017017900 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017017900?
Median gross rent is $3,427/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017017900?
1.2% of residents in tract 34017017900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,729.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017017900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 1th, minority 64th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 34017017900 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017017900 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017017900?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 149 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017017900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.56% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017017900 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017017900 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017017900 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017017900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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