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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 34017014700 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 5,747 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Tract 34017014700, home to 5,747 residents in the Lincoln Harbor area of Union City, scores 6.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,971 monthly, set against $84,698 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 14% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,719
Renter share39.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$84,698

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 10 tracts In Lincoln Harbor
Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#131 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Low
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#533 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,930 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 40.7809, -74.0323 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Harbor scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,971 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.0

How Lincoln Harbor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Harbor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 014700Union City: 7.67.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 200Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 6.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.0%Peak (2014)
  • 51Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170147002014: 59 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 51 filings (6.21/100 renter HHs)2017: 39 filings (4.75/100 renter HHs)2018: 51 filings (6.21/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hudson County average of 7.0 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 92% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017014700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017014700?

Census tract 34017014700 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017014700?

Median gross rent is $1,971/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017014700?

8.3% of residents in tract 34017014700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,747.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017014700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 65th, minority 87th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 34017014700 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017014700 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017014700?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 200 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017014700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.04% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017014700 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017014700 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 34017014700 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017014700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 92% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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