Neighborhood · Union City, NJ

Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated

10 census tracts · pop 42,377 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 4.7–9.1

Lincoln Harbor is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Union City with 10 census tracts and a population of 42,377 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,787/month sits 16% higher than the Union City citywide average ($1,537).

Risk score

6.9

Elevated

10 tracts · population-weighted

Lincoln Harbor vs Union City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

50.6% +57%

Union City: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$1,787 +16%

Union City: $1,537

Average HH income

$81,704 +23%

Union City: $66,492

Poverty rate

13.6% -36%

Union City: 21.3%

Renter share

73.1% -10%

Union City: 80.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Harbor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 10 tracts span score 4.7–9.1

Why Lincoln Harbor scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.8–7.6 across tracts

7.3

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 5.5–6.8 across tracts

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.2 across tracts

5.7

Tenant organizing strength

73% renter households · Range 4.0–5.1 across tracts

4.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Economic stress

13.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–8.8 across tracts

3.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–9.9 across tracts

2.8

Risk score comparison

Lincoln Harbor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lincoln Harbor?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 4.4 points from 4.7 to 9.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

9.1 7.9 7.7 7.5 7.4 7.3 6.2 6.0 6.0 4.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

10 tracts in Lincoln Harbor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
34017016400	9.1	3,908	69%	$1,567
34017016300	7.9	4,400	55%	$1,625
34017016200	7.7	4,550	41%	$1,451
34017016600	7.5	3,498	54%	$1,315
34017016100	7.4	3,859	53%	$1,562
34017016500	7.3	4,642	43%	$1,461
34017018000	6.2	4,132	44%	$1,613
34017014700	6	5,747	63%	$1,971
34017018100	6	2,912	38%	$1,460
34017017900	4.7	4,729	42%	$3,427

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 10 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 59%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 71%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lincoln Harbor

Aggregated across 10 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

3,222Total filings (sum)
6.86%Avg annual filing rate
13.0%Peak year (2018)
7.00%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln Harbor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

19.2%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility shutoff threat
24.1%Food insecurity
13.8%SNAP enrollment
22.4%No health insurance
28.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Lincoln Harbor

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Harbor?

Lincoln Harbor scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 10 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lincoln Harbor compare to Union City overall?

Lincoln Harbor scores 0.7 points lower than Union City overall (7.6/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,787 vs $1,537.

What is the average rent in Lincoln Harbor?

Average gross rent in Lincoln Harbor is $1,787/month (pop-weighted across 10 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lincoln Harbor residents are renters?

73% of Lincoln Harbor households are renter-occupied (vs 81% in Union City). The neighborhood has 42,377 residents.

Is Lincoln Harbor a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln Harbor sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Lincoln Harbor have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincoln Harbor is census tract 34017016400 (score 9.1/10). Across the 10 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 9.1, a spread of 4.4 points.

How safe is Lincoln Harbor for landlords?

Lincoln Harbor carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 10 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Union City as a whole (7.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Harbor?

Lincoln Harbor has 41,353 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (66.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln Harbor

7.5 The Shades 16 tracts · pop 58,472 5.8 Lincoln Square 3 tracts · pop 8,413 4.4 Uptown 7 tracts · pop 26,520 6.8 The Heights 13 tracts · pop 45,141 4.6 Downtown 9 tracts · pop 33,113 5.6 Newport 3 tracts · pop 14,077

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Union City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln Harbor.

7.4 The Shades 16 tracts · pop 58,472

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