10 census tracts · pop 42,377 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10
· range 6.2–8.2
Lincoln Harbor takes in 10 census tracts of Union City, NJ and houses 42,377 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.2/10, Elevated tier. Against a Union City baseline of 32.3%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.2 to 8.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. 22.4% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.
The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.8/10. At $1,787 a month, rents sit 16% over what the rest of Union City commands.
Court records carry 3,222 eviction filings across its 10 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2018, when filings touched 13.0% of renter households.
Judgments average 0.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $81,704.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
10 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln Harbor vs Union CityHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Lincoln Harbor
Aggregated across 10 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
3,222Total filings (sum)
6.86%Avg annual filing rate
13.0%Peak year (2018)
7.00%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln Harbor
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.2%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility shutoff threat
24.1%Food insecurity
13.8%SNAP enrollment
22.4%No health insurance
28.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lincoln Harbor
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Harbor?
Lincoln Harbor scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 10 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lincoln Harbor compare to Union City overall?
Lincoln Harbor scores 0.4 points higher than Union City overall (6.8/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,787 vs $1,537.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lincoln Harbor?
Average gross rent in Lincoln Harbor is $1,787/month (pop-weighted across 10 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lincoln Harbor residents are renters?
73% of Lincoln Harbor households are renter-occupied (vs 81% in Union City). The neighborhood has 42,377 residents.
Q5
Is Lincoln Harbor a high social-vulnerability area?
Lincoln Harbor sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lincoln Harbor have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincoln Harbor is census tract 34017016400 (score 8.2/10). Across the 10 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 8.2, a spread of 2 points.
Q7
How safe is Lincoln Harbor for landlords?
Lincoln Harbor carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 10 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Union City as a whole (6.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Harbor?
Lincoln Harbor has 41,353 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (66.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
