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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 34017018100 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 2,912 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 34017018100 covers Lincoln Harbor in Union City in New Jersey. Home to 2,912 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 75% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,460 monthly, set against $88,307 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 71% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 44% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,385
Renter share71.1%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$88,307

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 10 tracts In Lincoln Harbor
Very Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#133 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Low
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#533 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,930 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 40.7721, -74.0196 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Harbor scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,460 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.0

How Lincoln Harbor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Harbor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 018100Union City: 7.67.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 284Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak (2014)
  • 64Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170181002014: 94 filings (10.63/100 renter HHs)2016: 64 filings (6.84/100 renter HHs)2017: 62 filings (6.63/100 renter HHs)2018: 64 filings (6.84/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hudson County average of 7.0 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017018100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017018100?

Census tract 34017018100 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017018100?

Median gross rent is $1,460/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017018100?

7.8% of residents in tract 34017018100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,912.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017018100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 21th, minority 74th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 34017018100 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017018100 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017018100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 284 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017018100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.74% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017018100 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017018100 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 34017018100 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017018100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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