Within neighborhood
22
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 34017016500 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,642 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
34017016500 is a census tract in the Lincoln Harbor area of Union City, NJ. It scores 7/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,642 residents. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.4/10.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,983
Renter share76.2%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$88,695
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7711, -74.0253 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Harbor scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,461 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1
How Lincoln Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 408Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.9%Peak (2018)
- 117Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.3%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 21.0%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor
This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.6/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.0% against 11.3% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 408 evictions over 4 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points below the Hudson County average of 7.7.
The worst year on record was 2018, when 8.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017016500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017016500?
Census tract 34017016500 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017016500?
Median gross rent is $1,461/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017016500?
16.9% of residents in tract 34017016500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,642.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017016500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 87th, minority 83th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 34017016500 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017016500 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017016500?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 408 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017016500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.82% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017016500 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017016500 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017016500 scores 7/10, right in line with the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017016500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.9
/ 10 · High
Related