Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Creighton Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Old Bridge
Tract 34023007804 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 5,542 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 34023007804 in the Creighton Village area of Old Bridge, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,542 residents. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,088
Renter share9.6%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$115,473
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Old Bridge and the region
Centroid at 40.3926, -74.3335 · click any tract to drill in
Why Creighton Village scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Old Bridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,368 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Bridge
4.9
How Creighton Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 21Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2015)
- 21Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Creighton Village
60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Middlesex County average of 44.9%. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 21 evictions over 1 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 6.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10. Against average income of $115,473, annual rent is just 14%. It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,368, close to the Old Bridge average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007804?
Census tract 34023007804 in the Creighton Village neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023007804?
Median gross rent is $1,368/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007804?
9.6% of residents in tract 34023007804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,542.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 34th, minority 43th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 34023007804 considered part of Creighton Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007804 fall within Creighton Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007804?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.09% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023007804 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023007804 compare to Old Bridge overall?
Tract 34023007804 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Old Bridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Old Bridge
Top eight tracts in Old Bridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Whispering Pines
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Middlewood
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayerwood South
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Deer Chase at Oakwoode
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Spring Knolls
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayerwood South
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Middlewood
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Trevor Place
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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