Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Deer Chase at Oakwoode Eviction Risk: Moderate , Old Bridge
Tract 34023007914 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,286 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 34023007914 sits in the Deer Chase at Oakwoode area of Old Bridge eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It is home to 3,286 residents. Cost burden runs 14% here against 44.9% across Middlesex County.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$103,325
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Old Bridge and the region
Centroid at 40.3904, -74.2913 · click any tract to drill in
Why Deer Chase at Oakwoode scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Old Bridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,106 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Bridge
4.9
How Deer Chase at Oakwoode compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Deer Chase at Oakwoode
Average gross rent is $2,106, 44% above the Old Bridge average. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $103,325.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007914
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007914?
Census tract 34023007914 in the Deer Chase at Oakwoode neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023007914?
Median gross rent is $2,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007914?
7.0% of residents in tract 34023007914 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,286.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007914?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 80th, minority 49th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 34023007914 considered part of Deer Chase at Oakwoode?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007914 fall within Deer Chase at Oakwoode (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34023007914 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34023007914 compare to Old Bridge overall?
Tract 34023007914 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Old Bridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Old Bridge
Top eight tracts in Old Bridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Whispering Pines
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Middlewood
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayerwood South
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Creighton Village
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Spring Knolls
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayerwood South
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Middlewood
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Trevor Place
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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