Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Spring Knolls Eviction Risk: Moderate , Old Bridge
Tract 34023007913 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,979 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 34023007913 sits in the Spring Knolls area of Old Bridge eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It is home to 3,979 residents. Average gross rent is $381, 74% below the Old Bridge average.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,557
Renter share26.6%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$114,729
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Old Bridge and the region
Centroid at 40.3819, -74.2991 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spring Knolls scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Old Bridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$381 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Bridge
4.9
How Spring Knolls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spring Knolls
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Middlesex County average of 44.9%. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10.
Against average income of $114,729, annual rent is just 4%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007913
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007913?
Census tract 34023007913 in the Spring Knolls neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023007913?
Median gross rent is $381/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007913?
8.4% of residents in tract 34023007913 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,979.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007913?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 91th, minority 63th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 34023007913 considered part of Spring Knolls?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007913 fall within Spring Knolls (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34023007913 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34023007913 compare to Old Bridge overall?
Tract 34023007913 scores 5.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Old Bridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Old Bridge
Top eight tracts in Old Bridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Whispering Pines
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Middlewood
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayerwood South
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Creighton Village
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Deer Chase at Oakwoode
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayerwood South
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Middlewood
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Trevor Place
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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