Eviction Risk in Sayerwood South , Old Bridge
Tract 34023007805 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 4,063 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 34023007805 sits in the Sayerwood South neighborhood of Old Bridge, New Jersey. It has a population of 4,063 and an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). 12% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 0% severely cost-burdened (≥50%).
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 4,065 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 17.3%
- White (non-Hispanic) 61.4%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 5.6%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 14%
- Other / Multiracial 1.7%
How the 5.5/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 9.0 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 6.8 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 6.1 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 6.5 | Old Bridge (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 5.8 | Old Bridge (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 6.1 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 5.8 | Old Bridge (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 4.9 | Old Bridge (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.5 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 5.0 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.0%Peak (2015)
- 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sayerwood South. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.4%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
About tract 34023007805
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007805?
Census tract 34023007805 in the Sayerwood South neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007805?
6.1% of residents in tract 34023007805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,063.
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 25th, minority 56th, housing 4th.
Is tract 34023007805 considered part of Sayerwood South?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007805 fall within Sayerwood South (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007805?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007805 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.00% of renter households, peaking at 0.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 34023007805 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.