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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Middlewood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Old Bridge

Tract 34023007704 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 2,711 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 34023007704 (the Middlewood area of Old Bridge, New Jersey) comes in at 6.5/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $959 a month against an average household income of $87,500 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 5% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,006
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$87,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Middlewood
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In Old Bridge
High
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#57 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#925 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Bridge and the region

Centroid at 40.3954, -74.3540 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middlewood scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Old Bridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$959 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Bridge
4.9

How Middlewood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Middlewood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 007704Old Bridge: 7.77.7Old Bridgeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2015)
  • 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Middlewood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middlewood

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 5 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 4.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.0% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007704?

Census tract 34023007704 in the Middlewood neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023007704?

Median gross rent is $959/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007704?

7.1% of residents in tract 34023007704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,711.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 15th, minority 35th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 34023007704 considered part of Middlewood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007704 fall within Middlewood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007704?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.00% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023007704 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023007704 compare to Old Bridge overall?

Tract 34023007704 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Old Bridge at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Old Bridge

Top eight tracts in Old Bridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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