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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

Middlewood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Old Bridge

Tract 34023007704 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 2,711 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 6.2/10, tract 34023007704 in the Middlewood area of Old Bridge, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,711 residents. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 5% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,006
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$87,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Middlewood
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In Old Bridge
High
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#917 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Bridge and the region

Centroid at 40.3954, -74.3540 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middlewood scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Old Bridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$959 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Bridge
4.9

How Middlewood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Middlewood risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.2This tracttract 0077045.9Old Bridgeparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2015)
  • 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Middlewood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middlewood

Cost burden runs 66% here against 44.9% across Middlesex County. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9/10.

At $959 a month, rents run 34% under what the rest of Old Bridge commands. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

Court records carry 5 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.0% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $87,500, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007704?

Census tract 34023007704 in the Middlewood neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023007704?

Median gross rent is $959/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007704?

7.1% of residents in tract 34023007704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,711.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 15th, minority 35th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 34023007704 considered part of Middlewood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007704 fall within Middlewood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007704?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.00% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023007704 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023007704 compare to Old Bridge overall?

Tract 34023007704 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Old Bridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Old Bridge

Top eight tracts in Old Bridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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