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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Middlewood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Old Bridge

Tract 34023007703 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,429 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 34023007703 sits in the Middlewood area of Old Bridge eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. Population here is 3,429. Cost burden runs 62% here against 44.9% across Middlesex County.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 3% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,178
Renter share8.9%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$140,938

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Middlewood
Very Low
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Old Bridge
Very Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#122 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#1,533 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Bridge and the region

Centroid at 40.3946, -74.3660 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middlewood scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Old Bridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,464 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Bridge
4.9

How Middlewood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Middlewood risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0077035.9Old Bridgeparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 10.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak (2015)
  • 9Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Middlewood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middlewood

At $2,464 a month, rents run 69% over what the rest of Old Bridge commands. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Against the Middlesex County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Court records carry 9 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The voucher gap is 13.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 10.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007703?

Census tract 34023007703 in the Middlewood neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023007703?

Median gross rent is $2,464/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007703?

3.3% of residents in tract 34023007703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,429.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 1th, minority 45th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 34023007703 considered part of Middlewood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007703 fall within Middlewood (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007703?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.23% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023007703 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023007703 compare to Old Bridge overall?

Tract 34023007703 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Old Bridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Old Bridge

Top eight tracts in Old Bridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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