Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Melrose Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sayreville
Tract 34023009200 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 4,456 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 34023009200 covers part of the Melrose area of Sayreville, NJ, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,456 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,672
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$117,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sayreville and the region
Centroid at 40.4892, -74.3105 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melrose scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sayreville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,006 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sayreville
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sayreville
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sayreville
4.5
How Melrose compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2015)
- 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.8%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Melrose
Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Cost burden runs 36% here against 44.9% across Middlesex County.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. At $2,006 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Sayreville commands. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 10 filings here across 1 tracked years.
SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2015 at 3.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10.
It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023009200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023009200?
Census tract 34023009200 in the Melrose neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023009200?
Median gross rent is $2,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023009200?
6.4% of residents in tract 34023009200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,456.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023009200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 37th, minority 69th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 34023009200 considered part of Melrose?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023009200 fall within Melrose (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023009200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023009200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.12% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023009200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023009200 compare to Sayreville overall?
Tract 34023009200 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Sayreville at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville
Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Runyon
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayre Woods
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Thomas J. Dohany Homes
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
La Mer
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Presidents Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Park Village
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Winding River
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayre Woods
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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