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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Winding River Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sayreville

Tract 34023007101 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,589 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 34023007101 in the Winding River area of Sayreville, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Middlesex County average of 44.9%.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 8% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,351
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$113,068

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Winding River
Moderate
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 11 tracts In Sayreville
Moderate
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#87 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,105 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sayreville and the region

Centroid at 40.4668, -74.3679 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winding River scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sayreville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,207 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sayreville
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sayreville
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sayreville
4.5

How Winding River compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winding River risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0071016.3Sayrevilleparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 6Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.1%Peak (2015)
  • 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winding River

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,207, 29% below the Sayreville average.

The filing record is not thin: 6 evictions over 1 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 3.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $113,068, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007101?

Census tract 34023007101 in the Winding River neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023007101?

Median gross rent is $1,207/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007101?

2.9% of residents in tract 34023007101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,589.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 53th, minority 61th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 34023007101 considered part of Winding River?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007101 fall within Winding River (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007101?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.08% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023007101 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023007101 compare to Sayreville overall?

Tract 34023007101 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Sayreville at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville

Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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