Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
Winding River Eviction Risk: Lower , Sayreville
Tract 34023007101 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,589 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 34023007101 covers Winding River in Sayreville in New Jersey. Home to 3,589 residents, it scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
72% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,207 a month against an average household income of $113,068 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,351
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$113,068
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sayreville and the region
Centroid at 40.4668, -74.3679 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winding River scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sayreville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,207 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sayreville
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sayreville
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sayreville
4.5
How Winding River compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2015)
- 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winding River
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 6 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.1% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007101?
Census tract 34023007101 in the Winding River neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023007101?
Median gross rent is $1,207/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007101?
2.9% of residents in tract 34023007101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,589.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 53th, minority 61th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 34023007101 considered part of Winding River?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007101 fall within Winding River (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007101?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.08% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023007101 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023007101 compare to Sayreville overall?
Tract 34023007101 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Sayreville at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville
Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Sayre Woods
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Runyon
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Thomas J. Dohany Homes
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
La Mer
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Presidents Park
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Melrose
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Park Village
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Sayre Woods
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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