Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Sayre Woods Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sayreville

Tract 34023007303 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 2,025 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

34023007303 is a census tract in the Sayre Woods area of Sayreville, NJ. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,025. Against Middlesex County at 44.9%, 100% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 0% Owners 98%

Tract context

Occupied units595

Renter share1.8%

SVI overall0.43

Poverty rate2.8%

Median income$125,050

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sayreville and the region

Centroid at 40.4623, -74.2996 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sayre Woods scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Sayreville

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

2.8% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Sayreville

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Sayreville

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Sayreville

4.5

How Sayre Woods compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

43%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sayre Woods. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.1%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.1%Food insecurity
6.6%SNAP enrollment
6.6%Transit barriers
9.4%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
25.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sayre Woods

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10.

SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 2% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007303?

Census tract 34023007303 in the Sayre Woods neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007303?

2.8% of residents in tract 34023007303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,025.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 17th, minority 68th, housing 55th.

Is tract 34023007303 considered part of Sayre Woods?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007303 fall within Sayre Woods (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 34023007303 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34023007303 compare to Sayreville overall?

Tract 34023007303 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Sayreville at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville

Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.