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Neighborhood · Sayreville, NJ

Melrose Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,456 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.8

Melrose is a one-tract neighborhood of Sayreville, NJ and houses 4,456 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10. At $2,006 a month, rents sit 17% over what the rest of Sayreville commands.

Cost burden runs 36% against 31.1% citywide, putting Melrose 5.1% over its own city. Court records for this tract carry 10 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 3.1% of renter households.

Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Sayreville, it ranks #6 by risk, the middle third. At 18% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Presidents Park and Winding River score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $117,625.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Melrose vs Sayreville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.2% +16%
Sayreville: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$2,006 +17%
Sayreville: $1,711
Average HH income
$117,625 +19%
Sayreville: $98,629
Poverty rate
6.4% +6%
Sayreville: 6.0%
Renter share
18.0% -51%
Sayreville: 37.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Melrose and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.8–5.8

Why Melrose scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
6.4% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Melrose vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Melrose score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8MelroseNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Melrose

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34023009200 5.8 4,456 36% $2,006
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 52

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 47%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Melrose

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings (sum)
  • 3.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.1%Peak year (2015)
  • 3.12%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Melrose

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Melrose

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Melrose?

Melrose scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Melrose compare to Sayreville overall?

Melrose scores 0.5 points lower than Sayreville overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,006 vs $1,711.
Q3

What is the average rent in Melrose?

Average gross rent in Melrose is $2,006/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Melrose residents are renters?

18% of Melrose households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Sayreville). The neighborhood has 4,456 residents.
Q5

Is Melrose a high social-vulnerability area?

Melrose sits in the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Melrose for landlords?

Melrose carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sayreville as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Melrose?

Melrose has 4,677 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (41.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Melrose

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Sayreville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Melrose.

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