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Neighborhood · Sayreville, NJ

Winding River Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,589 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Winding River is a one-tract neighborhood of Sayreville, NJ and houses 3,589 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.6/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Sayreville baseline of 31.1%, about three-quarters of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

At $1,207 a month, rents sit 29% under what the rest of Sayreville commands. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10. Court records for this tract carry 6 eviction filings.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 3.1% of renter households. That places it #7 of 10 neighborhoods in Sayreville. Judgments average 0.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Park Village and Melrose. Against average income of $113,068, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 5.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Winding River vs Sayreville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
72.2% +132%
Sayreville: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,207 -29%
Sayreville: $1,711
Average HH income
$113,068 +15%
Sayreville: $98,629
Poverty rate
2.9% -52%
Sayreville: 6.0%
Renter share
27.4% -26%
Sayreville: 37.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winding River and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Winding River scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
72% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
2.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Winding River vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Winding River score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.6Winding RiverNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Winding River

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34023007101 5.6 3,589 72% $1,207
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Winding River

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 6Total filings (sum)
  • 3.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.1%Peak year (2015)
  • 3.08%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Winding River

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Winding River

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Winding River?

Winding River scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Winding River compare to Sayreville overall?

Winding River scores 0.7 points lower than Sayreville overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,207 vs $1,711.
Q3

What is the average rent in Winding River?

Average gross rent in Winding River is $1,207/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Winding River residents are renters?

27% of Winding River households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Sayreville). The neighborhood has 3,589 residents.
Q5

Is Winding River a high social-vulnerability area?

Winding River sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Winding River for landlords?

Winding River carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sayreville as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Winding River?

Winding River has 3,597 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.6%), Hispanic / Latino (19.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Winding River

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Sayreville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Winding River.

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