Neighborhood · Sayreville, NJ

Winding River Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,589 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Winding River is a diverse neighborhood in Sayreville with 1 census tract and a population of 3,589 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 72% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,207/month sits 29% lower than the Sayreville citywide average ($1,711).

Risk score

3.3

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Winding River vs Sayreville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

72.2% +132%

Sayreville: 31.1%

Average gross rent

$1,207 -29%

Sayreville: $1,711

Average HH income

$113,068 +15%

Sayreville: $98,629

Poverty rate

2.9% -52%

Sayreville: 6.0%

Renter share

27.4% -26%

Sayreville: 37.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winding River and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Winding River scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

72% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

27% renter households · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts

7.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

2.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Risk score comparison

Winding River vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Winding River

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
34023007101	3.3	3,589	72%	$1,207

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 53%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 19%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Winding River

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

6Total filings (sum)
3.08%Avg annual filing rate
3.1%Peak year (2015)
3.08%Latest filed (2015)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Winding River

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.0%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility shutoff threat
13.9%Food insecurity
7.8%SNAP enrollment
10.7%No health insurance
26.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Winding River

What is the eviction-risk score for Winding River?

Winding River scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Winding River compare to Sayreville overall?

Winding River scores 4.4 points lower than Sayreville overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,207 vs $1,711.

What is the average rent in Winding River?

Average gross rent in Winding River is $1,207/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Winding River residents are renters?

27% of Winding River households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Sayreville). The neighborhood has 3,589 residents.

Is Winding River a high social-vulnerability area?

Winding River sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Winding River for landlords?

Winding River carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sayreville as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Winding River?

Winding River has 3,597 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.6%), Hispanic / Latino (19.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Winding River

5.2 The Colony Club 2 tracts · pop 11,515 7.3 Raritan Gardens 5 tracts · pop 27,018 2.5 Greentree 3 tracts · pop 11,051 3.9 Sayre Woods 2 tracts · pop 5,451 2.6 Bonhamtown 3 tracts · pop 15,190 5.4 Cheesequake 3 tracts · pop 11,985

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Sayreville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Winding River.

3.3 Park Village 1 tracts · pop 4,153 3.1 Laurel Park 1 tracts · pop 3,307 3.5 Melrose 1 tracts · pop 4,456 3 Townelake at Sayreville 1 tracts · pop 4,651 3.6 Presidents Park 1 tracts · pop 5,205 3.7 La Mer 1 tracts · pop 3,511

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