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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Grande Legacy Eviction Risk: Lower , Toms River

Tract 34029722300 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 3,813 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 34029722300 covers part of the Grande Legacy area of Toms River, NJ, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,813 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 3% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,261
Renter share2.9%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$171,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grande Legacy
Moderate
Within parent city
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 20 tracts In Toms River
Very Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#133 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#2,042 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toms River and the region

Centroid at 40.0080, -74.1755 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grande Legacy scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toms River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toms River
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toms River
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toms River
5.3

How Grande Legacy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grande Legacy risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 722300Toms River: 4.64.6Toms Riverparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 25Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 5.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak (2013)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297223002013: 8 filings (10.53/100 renter HHs)2014: 2 filings (2.63/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (3.95/100 renter HHs)2016: 6 filings (8.96/100 renter HHs)2017: 5 filings (7.46/100 renter HHs)2018: 1 filings (1.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 88% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grande Legacy

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.8 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0.

SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 25 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10. Filings peaked in 2013 at 10.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.8 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029722300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029722300?

Census tract 34029722300 in the Grande Legacy neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029722300?

2.7% of residents in tract 34029722300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,813.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029722300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 16th, minority 18th, housing 8th.
Q4

Is tract 34029722300 considered part of Grande Legacy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029722300 fall within Grande Legacy (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029722300?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029722300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.84% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34029722300 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34029722300 compare to Toms River overall?

Tract 34029722300 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Toms River at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toms River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toms River

Top eight tracts in Toms River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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