Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Hickory Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Toms River
Tract 34029723100 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 4,083 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 34029723100 in the Hickory Manor area of Toms River, NJ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Against Ocean County at 50.5%, about a quarter of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,563
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$111,971
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
26
th percentile
Low
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toms River and the region
Centroid at 39.9567, -74.1894 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hickory Manor scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toms River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,485 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toms River
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toms River
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toms River
5.3
How Hickory Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 271Total filings over 6 yrs
- 8.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.3%Peak (2013)
- 31Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hickory Manor
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.6 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 271 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,485, 14% below the Toms River average. The worst year on record was 2013, when 12.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029723100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029723100?
Census tract 34029723100 in the Hickory Manor neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029723100?
Median gross rent is $1,485/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029723100?
4.2% of residents in tract 34029723100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,083.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029723100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 47th, minority 44th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 34029723100 considered part of Hickory Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029723100 fall within Hickory Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029723100?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 271 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029723100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.67% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029723100 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029723100 compare to Toms River overall?
Tract 34029723100 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Toms River at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toms River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toms River
Top eight tracts in Toms River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Four Seasons
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Island Beach Heights
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Eagle Trace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
34029722001
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Bay Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
The Landings
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Chestnut Run
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Maple Shade
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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