Hickory Manor Eviction Risk: Lower

The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.3/10.

Court records for this tract carry 271 eviction filings. Average gross rent is $1,485, 14% below the Toms River average of $1,731. Against a Toms River baseline of 29.1%, 25% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

SNAP participation is 6.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 12.3% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.4% in 2018, is well off that peak.

Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Toms River, it ranks #12 by risk, the lower third. For a like-for-like read, Victoriana and Georgetown score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $111,971, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.