Neighborhood · Toms River, NJ

Hickory Manor Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,083 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Hickory Manor is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Toms River with 1 census tract and a population of 4,083 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 25% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,485/month sits 14% lower than the Toms River citywide average ($1,731).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Hickory Manor vs Toms River How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

25.0% -14%

Toms River: 29.1%

Average gross rent

$1,485 -14%

Toms River: $1,731

Average HH income

$111,971 +17%

Toms River: $95,759

Poverty rate

4.2% -33%

Toms River: 6.3%

Renter share

40.6% +124%

Toms River: 18.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hickory Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Hickory Manor scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts

3.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Rent control risk

25% of income on rent · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

41% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts

4.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Economic stress

4.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Risk score comparison

Hickory Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Hickory Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
34029723100	3	4,083	25%	$1,485

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 48%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 70%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Hickory Manor

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

271Total filings (sum)
8.67%Avg annual filing rate
12.3%Peak year (2013)
5.41%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hickory Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.4%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility shutoff threat
11.6%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
9.8%No health insurance
24.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Hickory Manor

What is the eviction-risk score for Hickory Manor?

Hickory Manor scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Hickory Manor compare to Toms River overall?

Hickory Manor scores 3.8 points lower than Toms River overall (6.8/10). Renters spend 25% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,485 vs $1,731.

What is the average rent in Hickory Manor?

Average gross rent in Hickory Manor is $1,485/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Hickory Manor residents are renters?

41% of Hickory Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Toms River). The neighborhood has 4,083 residents.

Is Hickory Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Hickory Manor sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Hickory Manor for landlords?

Hickory Manor carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toms River as a whole (6.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Hickory Manor?

Hickory Manor has 4,299 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.9%), Hispanic / Latino (17.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hickory Manor

2.4 Downtown 2 tracts · pop 5,765 2.5 Cranmoor Manor 2 tracts · pop 5,988 2.8 Bayville 2 tracts · pop 8,739 5.1 Bay Shore 2 tracts · pop 3,228 2.8 Barnegat Pines 2 tracts · pop 9,490 4.8 Four Seasons 2 tracts · pop 7,054

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toms River

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hickory Manor.

3.1 Silver Bay 1 tracts · pop 4,436 2.9 Victoriana 1 tracts · pop 2,667 3.2 White Oak Bottom 1 tracts · pop 6,820 3.2 Dover Shores 1 tracts · pop 3,520 3.2 Pine Terrace 1 tracts · pop 4,988 2.8 Georgetown 1 tracts · pop 4,787

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