Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Holly Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toms River
Tract 34029723300 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 6,833 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 34029723300 covers part of the Holly Village area of Toms River, NJ, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,833. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,540
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$99,188
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toms River and the region
Centroid at 39.9594, -74.1399 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holly Village scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toms River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,388 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toms River
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toms River
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toms River
5.3
How Holly Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 397Total filings over 6 yrs
- 10.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.9%Peak (2013)
- 56Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holly Village
Average gross rent is $2,388, 38% above the Toms River average. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.7/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
The voucher gap is 17.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Ocean County average of 5.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 397 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10. Filings peaked in 2013 at 15.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 10.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029723300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029723300?
Census tract 34029723300 in the Holly Village neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029723300?
Median gross rent is $2,388/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029723300?
6.4% of residents in tract 34029723300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,833.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029723300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 37th, minority 38th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 34029723300 considered part of Holly Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029723300 fall within Holly Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029723300?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 397 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029723300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.68% of renter households, peaking at 15.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029723300 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029723300 compare to Toms River overall?
Tract 34029723300 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Toms River at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toms River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toms River
Top eight tracts in Toms River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Four Seasons
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Island Beach Heights
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Eagle Trace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
34029722001
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Bay Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
The Landings
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Chestnut Run
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Maple Shade
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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