Holly Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

33% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $2,388 a month, rents sit 38% over what the rest of Toms River commands. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

The voucher gap is 17.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Court records for this tract carry 397 eviction filings.

SNAP participation is 6.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 15.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 7.4% in 2018, is well off that peak.

Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Toms River, it ranks #7 by risk, the middle third. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Oak Ridge and White Oak Bottom score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.