Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Silver Bay Eviction Risk: Lower , Toms River
Tract 34029722402 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 4,436 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 34029722402 sits in the Silver Bay area of Toms River eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Population here is 4,436. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.7/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,724
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$116,993
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toms River and the region
Centroid at 40.0062, -74.1240 · click any tract to drill in
Why Silver Bay scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toms River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,864 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toms River
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toms River
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toms River
5.3
How Silver Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 68Total filings over 6 yrs
- 5.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2013)
- 16Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Silver Bay
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.3 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0.
SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 68 evictions over 6 years of observation.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10. Filings peaked in 2013 at 10.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029722402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029722402?
Census tract 34029722402 in the Silver Bay neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029722402?
Median gross rent is $1,864/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029722402?
7.6% of residents in tract 34029722402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,436.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029722402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 29th, minority 26th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 34029722402 considered part of Silver Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029722402 fall within Silver Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029722402?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029722402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.86% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029722402 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029722402 compare to Toms River overall?
Tract 34029722402 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Toms River at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toms River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toms River
Top eight tracts in Toms River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Four Seasons
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Island Beach Heights
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Eagle Trace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
34029722001
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Bay Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
The Landings
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Chestnut Run
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Maple Shade
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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