Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Rahway Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34039036000 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,300
Eviction risk in Rahway eviction risk in Union County centers on tract 34039036000, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 5,300 residents. That is riskier than about 94% of US census tracts.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,170 monthly, set against $91,286 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,669
Renter share54.0%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$91,286
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rahway and the region
Centroid at 40.6072, -74.2667 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rahway scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rahway
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,170 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.4
How Rahway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 42%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 970Total filings over 4 yrs
- 19.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.8%Peak (2013)
- 193Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.6%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rahway
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rahway eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Union County average of 6.6 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 970 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 19.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 21.8% of renter households in 2013.
Part of this tract, about 29% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039036000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039036000?
Census tract 34039036000 in Rahway scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039036000?
Median gross rent is $2,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039036000?
5.9% of residents in tract 34039036000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,300.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039036000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 40th, minority 85th, housing 86th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039036000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 970 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039036000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.15% of renter households, peaking at 21.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039036000 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039036000 compare to Rahway overall?
Tract 34039036000 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Rahway at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039036000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rahway
Top eight tracts in Rahway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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