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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rahway

Tract 34039035600 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,997 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 34039035600 sits in the Colonia area of Rahway eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It is home to 3,997 residents. Against Union County at 44.6%, 8% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 8% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,241
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$147,969

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Colonia
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Rahway
Very Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 120 tracts In Union County
Low
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,105 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rahway and the region

Centroid at 40.6072, -74.2993 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colonia scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rahway
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$3,054 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.4

How Colonia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Colonia risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0356006.6Rahwayparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 4.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak (2017)
  • 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34039035600
Filings climbed 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Colonia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colonia

At $3,054 a month, rents run 66% over what the rest of Rahway commands. The voucher gap is 42.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.3/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Union County average of 6.6.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 15 filings here across 4 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2017, when 12.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039035600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039035600?

Census tract 34039035600 in the Colonia neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039035600?

Median gross rent is $3,054/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 8% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039035600?

7.6% of residents in tract 34039035600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,997.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039035600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 70th, minority 63th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 34039035600 considered part of Colonia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039035600 fall within Colonia (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039035600?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039035600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.67% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34039035600 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34039035600 compare to Rahway overall?

Tract 34039035600 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Rahway at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34039035600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rahway

Top eight tracts in Rahway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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