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Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Rahway Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34039035900 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,285

Census tract 34039035900 belongs to Rahway in Union County, New Jersey. It is home to 4,285 residents and scores 6.8/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,934 monthly, set against $97,115 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 38% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,878
Renter share62.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$97,115

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Rahway
High
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#58 of 120 tracts In Union County
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#849 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rahway and the region

Centroid at 40.6061, -74.2795 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rahway scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rahway
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,934 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.4

How Rahway compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rahway risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 035900Rahway: 7.87.8Rahwayparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 382Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak (2016)
  • 94Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340390359002013: 98 filings (13.37/100 renter HHs)2016: 107 filings (10.60/100 renter HHs)2017: 83 filings (8.23/100 renter HHs)2018: 94 filings (9.32/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rahway

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rahway eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 382 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 10.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.6% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039035900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039035900?

Census tract 34039035900 in Rahway scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039035900?

Median gross rent is $1,934/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039035900?

10.7% of residents in tract 34039035900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,285.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039035900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 51th, minority 84th, housing 82th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039035900?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 382 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039035900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.38% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039035900 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34039035900 compare to Rahway overall?

Tract 34039035900 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Rahway at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34039035900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rahway

Top eight tracts in Rahway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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