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Census Tract · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Rahway Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34039035900 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,285

Tract 34039035900 sits in Rahway eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. Population here is 4,285. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 38% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,878
Renter share62.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$97,115

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Rahway
High
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 120 tracts In Union County
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#703 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#13,812 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rahway and the region

Centroid at 40.6061, -74.2795 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rahway scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rahway
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,934 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.4

How Rahway compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rahway risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.8This tracttract 0359006.6Rahwayparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 382Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak (2016)
  • 94Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34039035900
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rahway

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Union County average of 44.6%. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.7/10. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 382 filings here across 4 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 10.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 10.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039035900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039035900?

Census tract 34039035900 in Rahway scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039035900?

Median gross rent is $1,934/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039035900?

10.7% of residents in tract 34039035900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,285.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039035900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 51th, minority 84th, housing 82th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039035900?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 382 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039035900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.38% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039035900 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34039035900 compare to Rahway overall?

Tract 34039035900 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Rahway at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34039035900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rahway

Top eight tracts in Rahway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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