Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Rahway Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34039035500 · Union County, NJ · pop 7,165
With a score of 7.2/10, tract 34039035500 in Rahway, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,789
Renter share45.9%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$73,184
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
National
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rahway and the region
Centroid at 40.6196, -74.2796 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rahway scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rahway
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,633 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.4
How Rahway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 36%Grade B
- 31%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 619Total filings over 4 yrs
- 13.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.8%Peak (2016)
- 166Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.5%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 16.0%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rahway
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 619 evictions over 4 years of observation.
At $1,633 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Rahway commands. Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. Filings peaked in 2016 at 14.8% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 13.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10.
Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039035500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039035500?
Census tract 34039035500 in Rahway scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039035500?
Median gross rent is $1,633/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039035500?
7.5% of residents in tract 34039035500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,165.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039035500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 87th, minority 78th, housing 44th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039035500?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 619 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039035500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.43% of renter households, peaking at 14.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039035500 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039035500 compare to Rahway overall?
Tract 34039035500 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Rahway at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039035500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rahway
Top eight tracts in Rahway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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