Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Roselle Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34039034100 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,464
The Elevated-tier score of 6.5/10 for census tract 34039034100 reflects conditions in Roselle, New Jersey. On the national scale it ranks #11,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,088 monthly, set against $72,386 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,269
Renter share36.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$72,386
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roselle and the region
Centroid at 40.6561, -74.2463 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roselle scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roselle
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,088 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roselle
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roselle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roselle
6.1
How Roselle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 44%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 175Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.8%Peak (2016)
- 46Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.5%Food insecurity
- 12.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 17.3%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roselle
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roselle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039034100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039034100?
Census tract 34039034100 in Roselle scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039034100?
Median gross rent is $1,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039034100?
9.0% of residents in tract 34039034100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,464.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039034100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 75th, minority 88th, housing 73th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039034100?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039034100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.15% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039034100 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039034100 compare to Roselle overall?
Tract 34039034100 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Roselle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roselle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039034100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roselle
Top eight tracts in Roselle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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